Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.010437 0.012605 0.015321 0.019052 0.024184 0.031216 0.042012
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.008168 0.010770 0.014490 0.020499 0.030643 0.048675 0.088206
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.006686 0.009280 0.013295 0.020496 0.034554 0.065324 0.160247
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.005677 0.008164 0.012242 0.020152 0.037498 0.083132 0.285267
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.004791 0.007044 0.010872 0.018685 0.037238 0.093165 0.433937
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.004192 0.006283 0.009949 0.017786 0.037840 0.107186 0.727619
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.003814 0.005833 0.009492 0.017714 0.040599 0.134090 1.650833
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.003568 0.005571 0.009331 0.018248 0.045542 0.182663 6.934192
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.003316 0.005262 0.009019 0.018321 0.049180 0.237251 77.798860
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.003029 0.004855 0.008438 0.017554 0.049394 0.271385 NaN
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002817 0.004565 0.008059 0.017227 0.051231 0.332058 NaN
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002722 0.004485 0.008118 0.018129 0.059183 0.525722 NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002630 0.004424 0.008258 0.019504 0.072305 1.090987 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002542 0.004363 0.008398 0.021013 0.089721 3.030392 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002386 0.004143 0.008116 0.021010 0.098027 6.767937 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002234 0.003912 0.007768 0.020654 0.103651 16.253322 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002048 0.003594 0.007157 0.019137 0.097579 19.158676 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001906 0.003358 0.006727 0.018208 0.096097 33.559537 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001813 0.003219 0.006530 0.018133 0.103092 291.201840 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001751 0.003144 0.006491 0.018685 0.118566 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001678 0.003036 0.006348 0.018761 0.129587 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001582 0.002870 0.006026 0.017968 0.127806 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001509 0.002750 0.005818 0.017630 0.132470 NaN NaN